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开发阶段案例 · 模型盲评尚待独立人工复核,不代表正式 Benchmark 结论。
自动补全Evidence 更优9 / 162 · 199cc69dbcc484e8

Predictive Coding: a Theoretical and Experimental Review

定量生物学 · 2107.12979v4

FLOWING EVIDENCE BENCHMARK

怎么判断 Evidence 真的有帮助?

核心问题是:在同一写作位置、使用同一模型和任务时,提供检索文献片段会怎样改变首次输出?我们成对比较两种条件,保留持平、不可用和评审未完成的结果。

同一段原稿 · 比较是否提供 Evidence

01 · 固定写作位置

论文原稿

同一处写作点位 ▌

同一原稿位置的自动补全成对比较

02 · 构造两组输入

两组共用

原稿上下文、模型、任务和提示词

A · 提供 Evidence

额外提供检索文献片段

B · 不提供 Evidence

不提供检索文献片段

LLM

同一模型、同一版本

A → 首次输出

B → 首次输出

盲评 Agent

匿名标记两份首次输出为 X、Y

按续写质量判断:准确性、任务贴合度和可用性
输出:X 更优 / 持平 / Y 更优 / 两组均不可用

换序复评:X / Y → Y / X

盲评具体怎么判?

① 匿名两份输出
评审看到同一原稿和两份首次输出,但不知道哪份用了 Evidence。

② 比较并换序复评
根据当前任务的标准,按 X/Y、再按 Y/X 的顺序各评一次。

③ 复核分歧
两次结论不一致时再做第三次判定;未完成的评审也留在分母。

自动补全点位怎样分层?

在查看生成结果前,先核查检索片段是否含有能直接支撑下一步续写的具体命题;有则放在左侧机会组,否则放在右侧普通组。每个学科从可准入论文中均衡选取两组点位。50/50 是实验设计,不代表真实写作中两类点位各占一半。

AUTOCOMPLETE · 110

定量生物学、统计学、天体物理学

左侧 55 个、右侧 55 个点位;统计学采用 10 篇论文的复测结果。

AUTOCOMPLETE · 52

心理学与气候科学

左侧 26 个、右侧 26 个点位;心理学计入 9 篇,气候科学计入 4 篇。

表格里的百分比怎么算?

五学科共有 81 个左侧点位,其中 51 个点位的 Evidence 版本获评更优。持平、两组均不可用和评审未完成的点位仍计入分母。

51Evidence 版本更优
÷
81该层全部点位
=
63%该层 Evidence 获评更优的比例

来源贡献是另一项复核:已进入复核的 22 个 Evidence 获胜点位中,16 个确认直接使用了检索论文;另有 29 个胜出点位尚待复核。

当前是开发阶段的模型评审结果,尚未完成独立人工复核;这些数字不代表正式 Benchmark 结论,也不能单独证明因果关系。

原稿写作位置

原文摘录 · 非 PDF 页面

研究论文 · 原文片段

Predictive Coding: a Theoretical and Experimental Review

1 Introduction

… we provide a comprehensive review both of the core mathematical structure and logic of predictive coding, thus complementing recent tutorials in the literature ( Buckley et al. (2017) ; Bogacz (2017) ) . We also review a wide range of classic and recent work within the framework, ranging from the neurobiologically realistic microcircuits that could implement predictive coding, to the close relationship between predictive coding and the widely-used backpropagation of error algorithm, as well as surveying the close relationships between predictive coding and modern machine learning techniques.

↓ 此处生成下一段续写

黄色标出写作点位附近的原文;本页根据评测输入重排文本,不是原始 PDF 截图。

同一写作位置的成对对照盲评结果:Evidence 更优

两组使用同一模型、同一写作任务和原稿上下文,仅比较是否提供检索文献片段。下方展示评测记录中的首次输出。

Evidence

同一模型与写作位置 · 提供检索文献片段 · 首次输出

盲评更优

Within this literature, predictive coding has been developed as a biologically plausible alternative to backpropagation for credit assignment in arbitrary computation graphs, with reported performance comparable to backprop on architectures such as CNNs and LSTMs.

提供给 Evidence 版本的文献片段

Applications of the Free Energy Principle to Machine Learning and Neuroscience

Specifically, in Chapter 6, we first provide a brief review of the credit assignment problem in the brain, as well as the backpropagation algorithm (and automatic differentiation in general), for context, and then present our two contributions to this field. First, we demonstrate how under certain c…

展开完整文献摘录

Specifically, in Chapter 6, we first provide a brief review of the credit assignment problem in the brain, as well as the backpropagation algorithm (and automatic differentiation in general), for context, and then present our two contributions to this field. First, we demonstrate how under certain conditions, predictive coding itself can be utilized as a biologically plausible method of credit assignment in the brain, can apply to any arbitrary computation graph, and can be used to train modern machine learning architectures such as CNNs and LSTMs with performance comparable to backprop.

无 Evidence

同一模型与写作位置 · 不提供检索文献片段 · 首次输出

本次未获偏好

Predictive coding has been developed independently in neuroscience and machine learning, where it is known as predictive coding or, in some formulations, as a variational inference scheme for hierarchical generative models. This dual lineage has produced a rich but sometimes fragmented literature, with related ideas appearing under different names in the two fields.

模型盲评结论

模型盲评判定“Evidence 更优”。下方保留评审原始理由(英文),供核对判断依据。

查看模型评审原始理由(英文)

Output B is tightly grounded in the supplied source, which explicitly states that predictive coding 'can be utilized as a biologically plausible method of credit assignment in the brain, can apply to any arbitrary computation graph, and can be used to train modern machine learning architectures such as CNNs and LSTMs with performance comparable to backprop.' Output B accurately reflects these claims with appropriate hedging ('reported performance'). Output A, however, contains multiple unsupported claims: (1) that predictive coding was 'developed independently in neuroscience and machine learning' — the source does not address developmental history or independence; (2) that it is 'known as predictive coding or, in some formulations, as a variational inference scheme for hierarchical generative models' — the source does not mention variational inference or hierarchical generative models; (3) that 'This dual lineage has produced a rich but sometimes fragmented literature, with related ideas appearing under different names in the two fields' — this is a broad historiographical claim with no support in the source. These unsupported factual claims in Output A make it less suitable for direct insertion despite its fluent prose.

来源复核确认:这段续写直接采用了检索论文中可验证的具体信息。

文献片段是输入材料;出现于此不代表输出使用了它,也不代表它能够支持全部主张。原文与检索片段经过截取;页面没有展示模拟分数或模拟 PDF。